Katie LaPotin, Red Alert Politics, February 27, 2014
Either way you look at it, the immediate future looks bright for Republicans according to a New York Times/CBS poll released Wednesday.
The GOP benefits from a near-perfect collision of several elements this year: President Barack Obama’s free-falling approval rating, continued dismay with Washington, D.C. and the state of the American economy, and the widespread problems and fears surrounding the newly-implemented Affordable Care Act.
According to the study, a mere 41 percent of voters approve of the president’s job performance – the lowest it’s been in nearly two years. Obama’s approval rating sours even further among the all-important Independents – of whom a majority were white, male or under the age of 45.
Like in previous studies, the New York Times/CBS poll found that Republicans still hold a small lead on the generic ballot, 42 percent to 39 percent. The GOP’s margin is even stronger among Independents, 43 percent to 29 percent.
Republicans can also thank the Affordable Care Act for boosting their chances at the polls this November. “It seems all the Democrats are for Obamacare, and I think this is a really bad deal,” Larry Walker, an independent voter from Torrance, Calif., said in a follow-up interview to The New York Times.
The study also found that Americans are extremely worried about the future of the country, with 63 percent of them believing the country is headed on the wrong track and 57 percent disapproving of the president’s handling of the economy. In addition, eight in ten Americans are either dissatisfied or angry with how things are going in Washington, D.C.
Looking ahead to 2016, the Democratic Party has already coalesced itself around a single candidate: Hillary Clinton. More than eight in ten Democrats and Independents reported that they wanted the former secretary of state to enter the race, compared to just 42 percent for Vice President Joe Biden.
In contrast, Republicans didn’t seem particularly enthused about any candidate for 2016, as just one in three Republicans and Independents support a potential candidacy by Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida or former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. Only 22 percent of voters supported a potential run by New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, whose star has dropped in recent months over Bridgegate.
The New York Times/CBS News conducted a telephone study of 515 Democrats, 519 Republicans and 550 Independents nationwide from Feb. 19-23, 2014. The margin of error for each sample group is +/- 6 percent, while the margin of error for the study overall is +/- 2.4 percent.